You can read her rebuttal of my opinion here,
Umno should cut its losses, write-off Protun and off-set with PAS support
I think Helen is angry with me again.
The last time she seemed to be really angry with me was this one,
This time she even cited my posting which I wrote after an emotional night of the 13th general election,
The end of moderation
to stressed on the need for Johor Umno to get rid of all who may not be 100 per cent in agreement with the current party leadership.
Actually I have toned down quite a bit since I wrote that emotional post-election posting.
It was something like what Utusan asked the day after the 13th general election : "Apa lagi Cina mau?"
Well, never mind, I still believe that the Chinese votes, at least in Johor, are still with the opposition.
The more reason why I think Johor Umno cannot afford to be gung-ho and cut off any of the Malays who are not supportive of PM DS Najib Razak.
As I previously wrote, there are those who still love Umno and want to vote for BN even though they no longer like Najib.
If Johor Umno cut off these people, then i think it will have very serious problems in the next general election.
I also think that the possible cooperation between Umno and Pas will not help BN much in Johor.
Pas was never much of a force in the state.
In the last general election, their main function in Pakatan as far as Johor was concerned was to break up the Malay votes bank which is Umno's safe deposit.
Furthermore, many of top Johor Pas leaders are already with Amanah.
Being on the ground in Johor for quite a while, I noticed that Pas members in the state are not actually of the same mentality as those in Kelantan, Terengganu and Kedah.
They are not so fanatical in their support for the Islamist party.
I believe quite a number of them have crossed over to Amanah along with the likes of Salahuddin Ayub and Suhaizan Kayat.
They are a bit like Helen herself, who used to support the opposition but crossed over when she found out that BN is a better choice.
Helen also pointed to this,
As a comparison, Batu Pahat – lost by Umno’s then Deputy Education Minister Puad Zarkashi – has 46 percent Chinese voters. Puad’s opponent had a winning majority of1,732 votes.
I think it's to indicate that the opposition had also won by a slim majority in certain marginal constituencies.
Actually Batu Pahat should had been won by BN if the Umno headquarters had listened to the Johor Umno's proposal to change the candidate there before the general election.
It was lost because the Malay votes bank there was fractured because Puad was still fielded despite indicators which suggested that he was not very well liked not only by the Chinese but also many Malays who were uncomfortable with his rather aggressive right-wing style.
The key in Johor has always been Malay unity under Umno.
If that unity is broken, then DAP will have its wish of taking over that state, the third richest in the country after Selangor and Penang (which are already theirs).
I believe that Helen's suggestion for Johor Umno to cut off its members and Malay fence sitters who have been supportive of Umno but dislike Najib over the recent controversies will achieve exactly that.
Bear in mind that the Chinese who made up about 40 per cent of Johoreans are still more or less solid behind DAP.
My opinion is that Johor Umno may be able to stop being moderate with the Chinese voters but they can't afford to do so with the Malays, even those who can't seem to agree with the party leadership.
But then again, who am I to dispute my blogging sister Helen who is a better blogger than myself.
I can't even come up with a nice chart to support my arguments like her.
I also can't even write a long posting with fancy and grammatically correct words without getting a headache.
So, Johor MB DS Khaled Nordin and his boys in Kota Iskandar should follow Helen's advise and start cutting off people who love Umno but refuse to support its leadership.
Okay, my dear sister Helen, you win, I lose.
(Note: No nasty remarks about Helen Ang allowed in this blog as she had requested me not to publish them. Go to her blog if any of you feels like doing that.)